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El Niño, y no la actividad humana, disparó las temperaturas en 2023

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Revista Proceso – Todos los derechos reservados – 2024


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<br /> </a><br /> <a href="https://www.youtube.com/user/SemanarioProceso" class="ico btn yt" data-placement="bottom" data-toggle="tooltip" title="Síguenos en YouTube" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><br /> <title /><br /> </a><br /> <a href="https://www.instagram.com/revistaproceso/" class="ico btn ins" data-placement="bottom" data-toggle="tooltip" title="Síguenos en Instagram" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><br /> <title /><br /> </a> </div> <div class="sliding-buscador collapse" id="sliding-buscador"> <div id="x-sliding-buscador" title="Cerrar buscador"> </div> <div class="container f"> <div class="sliding-buscador--header"> <h2 class="titulo-buscar"><span id="Buscar">Buscar</span></h2> </div> <div class="search-group f"> <p><button class="btn-submit" type="submit"><i class="icon icon-search"></i></button> </div> </div> </div> <p><main id="main-content" role="main"></p> <div class="region-interna-1"> <div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="centrado bnn"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-prc_inicio940"> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display(‘div-gpt-ad-prc_inicio940’); }); </div> </div> </div> <div class="row row-equal-flex"> <div class="col-md-8"> <article class="main-article"> <hgroup class="zona-titulo"> <h2 class="volanta"><span id="Ciencia_y_Tecnologia">Ciencia y Tecnología</span></h2> <h1 class="titular">El Niño, y no la actividad humana, disparó las temperaturas en 2023</h1> <p><strong class="bajada">El Niño es un fenómeno climático que se caracteriza por el calentamiento periódico de las temperaturas de la superficie del mar en el Océano Pacífico central y oriental.</strong><br /> </hgroup> <div class="row"> <div class="col-md-1 col-sticky"> <div class="inner-share-bar cf"> <div class="item"> <div class="ico-fb" data-toggle="tooltip" title="Compartir en Facebook"></div> </div> <div class="item"> <a href="void(0)" class="ico-tw" data-toggle="tooltip" title="Compartir en Twitter"></a> </div> <div class="item visible-lg"> <a href="https://web.whatsapp.com/send?text=El+Ni%C3%B1o%2C+y+no+la+actividad+humana%2C+dispar%C3%B3+las+temperaturas+en+2023 - https://www.proceso.com.mx/ciencia-tecnologia/medio-ambiente/2024/10/21/el-nino-no-la-actividad-humana-disparo-las-temperaturas-en-2023-338896.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" class="ico-wp" title="Compartir en Whastapp"><br /> Compartir en whastapp<br /> </a> </div> <div class="item visible-xs"> <a href="//www.proceso.com.mx/ciencia-tecnologia/medio-ambiente/2024/10/21/el-nino-no-la-actividad-humana-disparo-las-temperaturas-en-2023-338896.html" data-action="share/whatsapp/share" class="ico-wp" title="Compartir en Whastapp"><br /> Compartir en Whastapp<br /> </a> </div> <div class="item"> <a title="Compartir en Telegram" target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://telegram.me/share/url?url=https://www.proceso.com.mx/ciencia-tecnologia/medio-ambiente/2024/10/21/el-nino-no-la-actividad-humana-disparo-las-temperaturas-en-2023-338896.html" class="ico-tg"><br /> Compartir en Telegram<br /> </a> </div> </div> </div> <div class="col-md-11"> <div class="main-content-foto"> <div class="my-gallery main-gallery"> <figure> <a href="/u/fotografias/fotosnoticias/2024/10/21/209798.jpg" data-size="1440x960"></p> <div class="nfotos"> </div> <p><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="img-responsive" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20685%20385'%3E%3C/svg%3E" width="685" height="385" alt="El Niño, y no la actividad humana, disparó las temperaturas en 2023" data-lazy-src="/u/fotografias/m/2024/10/21/f685x385-209798_247491_6135.jpg" /><noscript><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="img-responsive" src="/u/fotografias/m/2024/10/21/f685x385-209798_247491_6135.jpg" width="685" height="385" alt="El Niño, y no la actividad humana, disparó las temperaturas en 2023" /></noscript></p> <p></a><figcaption class="epigrafe"><span>El Niño, y no la actividad humana, disparó las temperaturas en 2023. Foto: AP</span></figcaption></figure> </div> <div class="pswp" role="dialog" aria-hidden="true"> <div class="pswp__bg"></div> <div class="pswp__scroll-wrap"> <div class="pswp__container"> <div class="pswp__item"></div> <div class="pswp__item"></div> <div class="pswp__item"></div> </div> <div class="pswp__ui pswp__ui--hidden"> <div class="pswp__top-bar"> <div class="pswp__counter"></div> <p><button class="pswp__button pswp__button--close" title="Close (Esc)"></button><br /> <button class="pswp__button pswp__button--share" title="Share"></button><br /> <button class="pswp__button pswp__button--fs" title="Toggle fullscreen"></button><br /> <button class="pswp__button pswp__button--zoom" title="Zoom in/out"></button></p> <div class="pswp__preloader"> <div class="pswp__preloader__icn"> <div class="pswp__preloader__cut"> <div class="pswp__preloader__donut"></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="pswp__share-modal pswp__share-modal--hidden pswp__single-tap"> <div class="pswp__share-tooltip"></div> </div> <p><button class="pswp__button pswp__button--arrow--left" title="Previous (arrow left)"><br /> </button><br /> <button class="pswp__button pswp__button--arrow--right" title="Next (arrow right)"><br /> </button></p> <div class="pswp__caption"> <div class="pswp__caption__center"></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <p> // ——————————————————————————————————————————-<br /> // PHOTOSWIPE </p> <p> var initPhotoSwipeFromDOM = function(gallerySelector) {</p> <p> // parse slide data (url, title, size …) from DOM elements<br /> // (children of gallerySelector)<br /> var parseThumbnailElements = function(el) {<br /> var thumbElements = el.childNodes,<br /> numNodes = thumbElements.length,<br /> items = [],<br /> figureEl,<br /> linkEl,<br /> size,<br /> item;</p> <p> for(var i = 0; i < numNodes; i++) {</p> <p> figureEl = thumbElements[i]; // </p> <figure> element</p> <p> // include only element nodes<br /> if(figureEl.nodeType !== 1) {<br /> continue;<br /> }</p> <p> linkEl = figureEl.children[0]; // <a> element</p> <p> size = linkEl.getAttribute(‘data-size’).split(‘x’);</p> <p> // create slide object<br /> item = {<br /> src: linkEl.getAttribute(‘href’),<br /> w: parseInt(size[0], 10),<br /> h: parseInt(size[1], 10)<br /> };</p> <p> if(figureEl.children.length > 1) {<br /> //<figcaption> content<br /> item.title = figureEl.children[1].innerHTML;<br /> }</p> <p> if(linkEl.children.length > 0) {<br /> // <img /> thumbnail element, retrieving thumbnail url<br /> item.msrc = linkEl.children[0].getAttribute(‘src’);<br /> } </p> <p> item.el = figureEl; // save link to element for getThumbBoundsFn<br /> items.push(item);<br /> }</p> <p> return items;<br /> };</p> <p> // find nearest parent element<br /> var closest = function closest(el, fn) {<br /> return el && ( fn(el) ? el : closest(el.parentNode, fn) );<br /> };</p> <p> // triggers when user clicks on thumbnail<br /> var onThumbnailsClick = function(e) {<br /> e = e || window.event;<br /> e.preventDefault ? e.preventDefault() : e.returnValue = false;</p> <p> var eTarget = e.target || e.srcElement;</p> <p> // find root element of slide<br /> var clickedListItem = closest(eTarget, function(el) {<br /> return (el.tagName && el.tagName.toUpperCase() === ‘FIGURE’);<br /> });</p> <p> if(!clickedListItem) {<br /> return;<br /> }</p> <p> // find index of clicked item by looping through all child nodes<br /> // alternatively, you may define index via data- attribute<br /> var clickedGallery = clickedListItem.parentNode,<br /> childNodes = clickedListItem.parentNode.childNodes,<br /> numChildNodes = childNodes.length,<br /> nodeIndex = 0,<br /> index;</p> <p> for (var i = 0; i = 0) {<br /> // open PhotoSwipe if valid index found<br /> openPhotoSwipe( index, clickedGallery );<br /> }<br /> return false;<br /> };</p> <p> // parse picture index and gallery index from URL (#&pid=1&gid=2)<br /> var photoswipeParseHash = function() {<br /> var hash = window.location.hash.substring(1),<br /> params = {};</p> <p> if(hash.length < 5) {<br /> return params;<br /> }</p> <p> var vars = hash.split('&');<br /> for (var i = 0; i < vars.length; i++) {<br /> if(!vars[i]) {<br /> continue;<br /> }<br /> var pair = vars[i].split('=');<br /> if(pair.length getThumbBoundsFn section of documentation for more info<br /> var thumbnail = items[index].el.getElementsByTagName(‘img’)[0], // find thumbnail<br /> pageYScroll = window.pageYOffset || document.documentElement.scrollTop,<br /> rect = thumbnail.getBoundingClientRect(); </p> <p> return {x:rect.left, y:rect.top + pageYScroll, w:rect.width};<br /> }</p> <p> };</p> <p> // PhotoSwipe opened from URL<br /> if(fromURL) {<br /> if(options.galleryPIDs) {<br /> // parse real index when custom PIDs are used<br /> // http://photoswipe.com/documentation/faq.html#custom-pid-in-url<br /> for(var j = 0; j < items.length; j++) {<br /> if(items[j].pid == index) {<br /> options.index = j;<br /> break;<br /> }<br /> }<br /> } else {<br /> // in URL indexes start from 1<br /> options.index = parseInt(index, 10) – 1;<br /> }<br /> } else {<br /> options.index = parseInt(index, 10);<br /> }</p> <p> // exit if index not found<br /> if( isNaN(options.index) ) {<br /> return;<br /> }</p> <p> if(disableAnimation) {<br /> options.showAnimationDuration = 0;<br /> }</p> <p> // Pass data to PhotoSwipe and initialize it<br /> gallery = new PhotoSwipe( pswpElement, PhotoSwipeUI_Default, items, options);<br /> gallery.init();<br /> };</p> <p> // loop through all gallery elements and bind events<br /> var galleryElements = document.querySelectorAll( gallerySelector );</p> <p> for(var i = 0, l = galleryElements.length; i < l; i++) {<br /> galleryElements[i].setAttribute('data-pswp-uid', i+1);<br /> galleryElements[i].onclick = onThumbnailsClick;<br /> }</p> <p> // Parse URL and open gallery if it contains #&pid=3&gid=1<br /> var hashData = photoswipeParseHash();<br /> if(hashData.pid && hashData.gid) {<br /> openPhotoSwipe( hashData.pid , galleryElements[ hashData.gid – 1 ], true, true );<br /> }<br /> };</p> <p> // execute above function<br /> initPhotoSwipeFromDOM('.my-gallery');</p> <p> // ======================================<br /> // FIN SCRIPTS PHOTOSWIPE<br /> // ======================================</p> </figcaption></a></figure> </div> <div class="fecha-y-seccion"> <div class="seccion"> <p><a href>Ciencia y Tecnología</a> </div> <div class="autor f"> <div class="foto-autor"> <a href="/autor/europa-press.html" class="nota-link-autor" title="Ir al perfil de Europa Press"><br /> <img decoding="async" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2030%200'%3E%3C/svg%3E" width="30" alt="Autor sin foto cargada" data-lazy-src="/u/plantillas/imgs/avatar.svg" /><noscript><img decoding="async" src="/u/plantillas/imgs/avatar.svg" width="30" alt="Autor sin foto cargada" /></noscript><br /> </a> </div> <div class="nombre-autor"> <a href="/autor/europa-press.html" class="nota-link-autor" title="Ir al perfil de Europa Press">Por <span class="post-author-name">Europa Press</span><br /> </a> </div> </div> <div class="fecha"> lunes, 21 de octubre de 2024 · 12:27</div> </div> <div class="centrado primer_bnn "> <div id="div-gpt-ad-prc_middle1(1)"> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display(‘div-gpt-ad-prc_middle1(1)’); }); </div> </div> <div class="cuerpo-nota" id="cuerpo-nota"> <p>MADRID (EUROPA PRESS).- El evento climático de El Niño-Oscilación del Sur como la causa principal del aumento de la temperatura superficial global en 2023, no el cambio climático inducido por el ser humano.</p> <p>Así lo identifica un estudio realizado por científicos de la Escuela Rosenstiel de Ciencias Marinas, Atmosféricas y de la Tierra de la Universidad de Miami, ublicado en la revista Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.</p> <p>El Niño es un fenómeno climático que se caracteriza por el calentamiento periódico de las temperaturas de la superficie del mar en el Océano Pacífico central y oriental. Afecta significativamente los patrones climáticos globales y puede conducir a cambios ambientales y climáticos.</p> <p>El rápido aumento de la temperatura superficial global en 2023 generó preocupación y especulaciones entre el público y los medios de comunicación sobre la causa.</p> <p>“Dada la naturaleza apremiante del problema, queríamos investigar a fondo la causa principal del aumento de las temperaturas del año pasado”, dijo el autor principal del estudio, Shiv Priyam Raghuraman, quien completó el trabajo como investigador postdoctoral en la Escuela Rosenstiel.</p> <blockquote> <p>“Nuestros experimentos mostraron que cuando las influencias humanas estaban ausentes de las simulaciones climáticas, aún se producían picos de calentamiento global”.</p> </blockquote> <p>Los investigadores analizaron modelos que permiten que el clima evolucione sin ninguna influencia de la actividad humana para demostrar que existe un 10% de probabilidades de que se produzca un aumento repentino de las temperaturas cuando un fenómeno de El Niño fue precedido por un fenómeno de La Niña prolongado, como ocurrió en 2022-2023.</p> <p>Además, casi todos los picos estuvieron asociados a un fenómeno de El Niño. Los resultados indican que el aumento repentino del calentamiento de 2023 fue causado principalmente por El Niño-Oscilación del Sur, en lugar de por fenómenos de calentamiento global inducidos por el ser humano. </p> <p>En 2023, las temperaturas globales alcanzaron niveles sin precedentes, y muchas regiones experimentaron calor extremo, lo que contribuyó a uno de los años más calurosos registrados. </p> <p>El año registró anomalías de temperatura notables, en particular en Europa y partes de Oriente Medio, donde las olas de calor provocaron máximos históricos, que a menudo superaron los 40 °C. </p> <p>Los océanos también alcanzaron temperaturas más altas de lo normal, lo que provocó fenómenos meteorológicos extremos, como tormentas intensas y sequías prolongadas en varias partes del mundo. </p> <blockquote> <p>“Este resultado no quita el hecho de que la emisión humana de gases de efecto invernadero es responsable de la tendencia de calentamiento a largo plazo y que este calentamiento continuará hasta que la emisión neta de CO2 y otros gases de efecto invernadero se reduzca a cero”, dijo Brian Soden, coautor del estudio y profesor de ciencias atmosféricas en la Escuela Rosenstiel. </p> </blockquote> <div class="live-blog-responsive"> </div> <div style="text-align:center"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </article> <p><a name="ancla-comentarios"></a></p> <div class="region-interna-2"> <div class="caja"> <div id="comentarios" class="main-comentarios"> <div class="titulo-modulo"> <h3>Comentarios</h3> </div> <div class="cont" style="width:100%"> <div class="fb-comments" data-href="https://www.proceso.com.mx/ciencia-tecnologia/medio-ambiente/2024/10/21/el-nino-no-la-actividad-humana-disparo-las-temperaturas-en-2023-338896.html" data-numposts="10" data-version="v2.7" data-notify="true" data-width="100%"></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="col-md-11 col-md-offset-1"> </div> </div> <div class="col-md-4"> <aside id="sidebar" class="sidebar"> <div class="col2 sticky_column"> <div class="nota caja m224 "> <div class="masleidas-listado-33"> <div class="titulo-modulo"> <h3>Más leídas</h3> </div> <div class="masleidas-listado-33--body"> <div class="item"> <article class="masleidas-listado-33---article"> <a href="/nacional/2024/10/22/diputados-aprueban-reforma-que-reduce-la-edad-para-la-pension-adultos-mayores-339011.html"></p> <div class="foto"> <img decoding="async" width="80" height="80" alt="Diputados aprueban reforma que reduce la edad para la pensión a adultos mayores" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2080%2080'%3E%3C/svg%3E" data-lazy-src="/u/fotografias/m/2024/10/22/f80x80-209911_210843_5050.jpg" /><noscript><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="80" height="80" alt="Diputados aprueban reforma que reduce la edad para la pensión a adultos mayores" src="/u/fotografias/m/2024/10/22/f80x80-209911_210843_5050.jpg" /></noscript> </div> <div class="txt"> <strong 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